*I frankly never heard of this journalist 'Phil Becker'
at "Digital ID World" magazine and website, but I see
that he was hip to the creation of a de facto
US national ID card a full FIVE MONTHS AGO.
Phil Becker's obviously got something on the ball:
http://www.digitalidworld.com/modules.php?op=modload&name=News&file=article&sid=260&mode=chrono&order=0
Predictions for Digital Identity in 2005
By: Phil Becker
Topic: General
Posted: Thursday, January 06, 2005 (12:00 AM MST)
Summary: It's that time of year, the time when we get to speculate about how the world of identity will evolve in 2005. We didn't do too badly with our 2004 predictions, here's hoping our track record is as good this year...
†
2004 was an eventful year in identity, but 2005 looks likely to be a year when identity rises to an even more prominent position.
Some predictions are simple, like saying the Digital ID World conference this May in San Francisco will be big. But we wanted to focus on those things that might not be so obvious. So we herewith humbly offer ten predictions of what we think will happen in 2005.
1. Federated Policy will become a buzz-word.
As federated identity becomes more mainstream, the realization that policy must also be federated to produce the desired results will grow. By mid-year, the term federated policy won't sound strange. By year-end, it will even be understood.
2. Little real progress will be made in 2005 to fight phishing.
Phishing will be one of the hottest draws in security forums, but despite a number of products and approaches, little real progress will occur in dealing with it. By year's end, however, the industry will begin wearing down enough that serious "let's work together" conversations will finally begin.
3. Web Services will Change Identity Management.
So far, identity management has employed a series of applications such a meta-directories, virtual directories, sync programs, etc. to keep identity data correct. In 2005, identity management will start to use web services to make identity store updates transactional. IdM will also start to package things like authentication, policy based authorization, etc. as web services to allow cross-platform ease of integration and use. It will change the perception of what identity management is.
4. Someone will wake up in 2005 and realize that the U.S. legislated a de facto national ID with the intelligence bill.
The U.S. intelligence bill was passed in a flurry of political heat, allowing little real consideration of its contents. In 2005 it will become clear that it effectively legislated a national ID through its driver's license standardization requirements. Blogging Hysteria will follow.
*WILL 'blogging hysteria follow'? Well, if it doesn't, it
won't be for lack of me trying...
*His other predictions are almost as good!
