"The model provided by Mellow in its food safety statement cannot be applied to all microorganisms that cause food-borne illness," said Smith. “Ratkowsky’s scientific study, while helpful, is no longer all-encompassing. It’s questionable for them to use the FDA guidelines for a consumer-based product; for consumer usage—the USDA guidelines should be used.”
Linda Harris, a food safety researcher and chair of the department of food science and technology at UC Davis, picked up on this point. She plugged the four-hour descent from 70 to 40 degrees into ComBase, a database used by scientists that uses models to show how microorganisms survive, grow, and die under a variety of food-related conditions. Looking at Salmonella and Clostridium botulinum, the model showed they wouldn't multiply in that period.
"Under these parameters, the opportunity for microorganisms to multiply is limited, if everything were working properly," Harris said. She also warned that you could push it, with something like lower-quality food, a bug of the machine, or poor food handling, to where you might see bacterial growth. "It’s amazing what different consumers will do with the same recipe."
I thought here of that guy in the video who was trying to feed his kid a microwave dinner and was now making the leap to sous vide. Would he get it right?
Harris then took issue with Mellow's food safety statement, saying it could be reworked to present the data more clearly. "It's not made well," she said. Harris also disagreed with Mellow's emailed statement, referring to a line from Mellow’s chef/scientist Filipe Leonor’s email that read, "In the example of a mechanically tenderized, minced, or processed meat such as a burger, our cooking algorithm is slightly different to allow full pasteurization using time/temperatures ratios."
Using the time and temperature data points collected when I was cooking my burger, Harris ran a different ComBase model and found that "reductions were predicted to be between 99 to 99.9 percent (or between "2 and 3 log") for both Salmonella and E. coli.”
Hey, almost 100 percent is good, right?
Nope.
"It makes a difference in microbiology,” Harris says. "Full pasteurization is 99.999 percent reduction. Minimum. By my calculations, they did not make full pasteurization."
The "99 to 99.9 percent" data for my burger means a 100 to 1,000-fold reduction for Salmonella and E. coli, yet a target 100,000-fold reduction (99.999 percent) is commonly used by the food industry to describe pasteurization. Furthermore, Harris mentioned that "the meat and poultry industry target reductions of Salmonella are closer to 10 million-fold."
Harris suggested following the USDA guidelines to cook for 46 minutes at 134 degrees Fahrenheit, or 121 minutes at 130 degrees for full pasteurization.
I also called Marianne Gravely, senior technical information specialist at the USDA, and described my experience with the machine. She said that the Mellow's cooling process "took too long to get down to a cold enough temperature. We would tell a consumer that it's too long in the danger zone ... We don’t have jurisdiction over what they sell, but if it’s for home use, it shouldn’t put the consumer in the situation where they’re handling their food in an unsafe way."